Prediction: Kim Chiarello vs Alina Nesmianovych
Team pages: Kim Chiarello · Alina Nesmianovych
Prediction summary
Winner
Kim Chiarello
Alina Nesmianovych
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Kim Chiarello
7-3 (W-L)
Alina Nesmianovych
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kim Chiarello 1526 · Alina Nesmianovych 1486
| Kim Chiarello | Alina Nesmianovych | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kim Chiarello (rating 1526 vs 1486).
- Note: Alina Nesmianovych makes many double faults (7.3/match).
Statistics
| Kim Chiarello | Alina Nesmianovych | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-9.1 | 10.7-10.7 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 7.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.1% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 52.6% | 44.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kim Chiarello
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Sara Cakarevic W50 Cherbourg |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Amandine Monnot W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 06/10 | Marie Villet W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 05/10 | Hee Rae Im W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/10 | Anna Brunet-Brady W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 30/09 | Salma Djoubri W35 Reims |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 29/09 | Meline Lataste W35 Reims |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/09 | Severine Deppner W35 Reims |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/09 | Demi Tran W75 Le Neubourg |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Naoko Eto W75 Le Neubourg |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Alina Nesmianovych
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Lara Wasserfuhr W15 Essen |
0-2 | 5-10 | L |
| 12/10 | Eva Iurina W15 Chisinau |
1-2 | 10-8 | L |
| 07/10 | Sonia Erika Butuc Cerchez W15 Chisinau |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 05/10 | Luisa Schruff W15 Chisinau |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 01/10 | Sada Nahimana W35 Reims |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Gina Marie Dittmann W35 Reims |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 29/09 | Fanny Pire W35 Reims |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/09 | Valentina Khrebtova W35 Reims |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/09 | Georgina Hays W35 Reims |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/09 | Kayla Lorrimer W15 Dijon |
1-2 | 12-11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kim Chiarello vs Alina Nesmianovych?
Our model gives 71% to Kim Chiarello.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.