Tennis · ATP Stockholm · 08/11, 13:30
Prediction: Jacob Fearnley vs Alexander Shevchenko
Team pages: Jacob Fearnley · Alexander Shevchenko
Prediction summary
Winner
Jacob Fearnley
Alexander Shevchenko
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Jacob Fearnley
8-2 (W-L)
Alexander Shevchenko
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jacob Fearnley 1583 · Alexander Shevchenko 1508
| Jacob Fearnley | Alexander Shevchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jacob Fearnley (rating 1583 vs 1508).
- Jacob Fearnley is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Jacob Fearnley | Alexander Shevchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-7.9 | 11.2-10 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 74.9% | 71.9% |
| Break % | 55.4% | 40.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jacob Fearnley
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Arthur Nagel ATP Stockholm · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/10 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 24/10 | Pablo Carreno Busta ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 21/10 | Clement Chidekh ATP Brussels · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/10 | Hugo Gaston ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/10 | Damir Dzumhur Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/10 | Luca Nardi Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/10 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 15/10 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/10 | George Loffhagen Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Alexander Shevchenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Viktor Durasovic ATP Stockholm · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/11 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 18/10 | Stefanos Sakellaridis ATP Almaty · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/10 | Daniil Glinka ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 16/10 | Mattia Bellucci Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Jay Friend Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/10 | Miomir Kecmanovic Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Yoshihito Nishioka ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Hayato Matsuoka Asian Games |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 29/09 | Abhishek Bastola Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jacob Fearnley vs Alexander Shevchenko?
Our model gives 69% to Jacob Fearnley, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.