Tennis · ATP Stockholm · 08/11, 12:00
Prediction: Inaki Montes-De La Torre vs Lorenzo Sonego
Team pages: Inaki Montes-De La Torre · Lorenzo Sonego
Prediction summary
Winner
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Lorenzo Sonego
Estimated games
22.9Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
7-3 (W-L)
Lorenzo Sonego
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Inaki Montes-De La Torre 1520 · Lorenzo Sonego 1513
| Inaki Montes-De La Torre | Lorenzo Sonego | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Inaki Montes-De La Torre makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Inaki Montes-De La Torre | Lorenzo Sonego | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-10.1 | 13-14.2 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 9 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 69.3% | 75.4% |
| Break % | 55.7% | 27% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1.4
Over 21.5: 60% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 40% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Damir Dzumhur ATP Stockholm · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/11 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Taranto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Toby Samuel Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 03/10 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/10 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Luca Potenza Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/09 | Alec Deckers M25 Setubal |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 26/09 | Michael Agwi M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/09 | Lui Maxted M25 Setubal |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Lorenzo Sonego
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Olle Wallin ATP Stockholm · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/11 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Paris · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/11 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Paris · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 31/10 | Jaume Munar ATP Paris · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 25/10 | Jacob Fearnley ATP Vienna · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 24/10 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 19/10 | Moise Kouame ATP Lyon · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/10 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 28/09 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Chengdu · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Inaki Montes-De La Torre vs Lorenzo Sonego?
Our model gives 63% to Lorenzo Sonego, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.