Tennis · UTR Pro Chapel Hill Women · 07/11, 20:30
Prediction: Sara Borkop vs Heidi Bulger
Team pages: Sara Borkop
Prediction summary
Winner
Sara Borkop
Heidi Bulger
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Sara Borkop
4-6 (W-L)
Heidi Bulger
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sara Borkop 1442 · Heidi Bulger 1456
| Sara Borkop | Heidi Bulger | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Sara Borkop | Heidi Bulger | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (4) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-11.4 | 8.4-11.5 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 42.5% | 47.3% |
| Break % | 30% | 64% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sara Borkop
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Nicole Khirin UTR Pro Chapel Hill Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/11 | Natalie Outcalt UTR Pro Chapel Hill Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 03/11 | Candela Yecora UTR Pro Chapel Hill Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/11 | Gabia Paskauskas UTR Pro Chapel Hill Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Eeva Ristola UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Prisca Abbas UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/06 | Nelly Knezkova UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Jana Stojanova UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 17/06 | Asuncion Jadue UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 15/06 | Victoria Borodulina UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
Heidi Bulger
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06 | Anna Grigoreva UTR Pro Philadelphia Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Valerie Shue UTR Pro Philadelphia Women · Hard |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 21/04 | Catherine Rennard W35 Charlotte |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/12 | Malkia Ngounoue UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 12/12 | Ailen Crespo Azconzabal UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/12 | Athina Schlepphorst UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/12 | Brooke Black UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/12 | Reese Frank UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 07/12 | Catherine Rennard UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 03/12 | Ruien Zhang ITF W35 Daytona Beach |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sara Borkop vs Heidi Bulger?
Our model gives 61% to Sara Borkop, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.