Tennis · Challenger Matsuyama · 10/11, 02:00
Prediction: Yosuke Watanuki vs Taro Daniel
Team pages: Yosuke Watanuki · Taro Daniel
Prediction summary
Winner
Yosuke Watanuki
Taro Daniel
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Yosuke Watanuki
10-0 (W-L)
Taro Daniel
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yosuke Watanuki
0–1
Taro Daniel
(1 last)
- 20 Oct1-2 13-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yosuke Watanuki 1612 · Taro Daniel 1471
| Yosuke Watanuki | Taro Daniel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yosuke Watanuki (rating 1612 vs 1471).
- Yosuke Watanuki dominates on serve: 9.9 aces and 47.6% break avg.
- Yosuke Watanuki is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Yosuke Watanuki 0–1 Taro Daniel (1).
Statistics
| Yosuke Watanuki | Taro Daniel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.3 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-7.6 | 11-11.5 |
| Aces | 9.9 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 82.5% | 68.9% |
| Break % | 47.6% | 41.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Yosuke Watanuki 0 – 1 Taro Daniel (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yosuke Watanuki 0–1 Taro Daniel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10/17 Challenger Ningbo | 1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yosuke Watanuki
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Coleman Wong Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 06/11 | Alexandre Muller Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 05/11 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/11 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/11 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/11 | Dominik Palan Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/10 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Jinan · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 15/10 | Marin Cilic Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/10 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/10 | Kaito Uesugi Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Taro Daniel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Terence Atmane Challenger Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/10 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/10 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Almaty · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/10 | Shintaro Mochizuki ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 28/09 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 24/09 | Dane Sweeny ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Hayato Matsuoka ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/09 | Jake Delaney ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/09 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yosuke Watanuki vs Taro Daniel?
Our model gives 65% to Yosuke Watanuki, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.