Tennis · Challenger Matsuyama · 10/11, 02:00
Prediction: Mili Poljicak vs Chun Hsin Tseng
Team pages: Mili Poljicak · Chun Hsin Tseng
Prediction summary
Winner
Mili Poljicak
Chun Hsin Tseng
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Mili Poljicak
4-6 (W-L)
Chun Hsin Tseng
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mili Poljicak 1433 · Chun Hsin Tseng 1501
| Mili Poljicak | Chun Hsin Tseng | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chun Hsin Tseng (rating 1433 vs 1501).
- Chun Hsin Tseng is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Mili Poljicak | Chun Hsin Tseng | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 29% (7) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.7 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-12.8 | 11.4-8.2 |
| Aces | 6.6 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 70.1% | 78.4% |
| Break % | 22.1% | 49.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mili Poljicak
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Sho Shimabukuro Challenger Taipei · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/10 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 13/10 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 04/10 | Patrick Brady Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 01/10 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Max Basing Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/09 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Matej Dodig Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Chun Hsin Tseng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Carl Emil Overbeck Challenger Taipei · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Khumoyun Sultanov Asian Games |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Anvar Rakhmatov Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/09 | Olle Wallin Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/09 | Karl Friberg Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/09 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 05/09 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Fajing Sun Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/09 | Tianhui Zhang Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mili Poljicak vs Chun Hsin Tseng?
Our model gives 61% to Chun Hsin Tseng, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.