Tennis · Challenger Matsuyama · 10/11, 02:00
Prediction: Joel Schwaerzler vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Team pages: Joel Schwaerzler · Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Prediction summary
Winner
Joel Schwaerzler
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Joel Schwaerzler
4-6 (W-L)
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joel Schwaerzler 1471 · Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong 1440
| Joel Schwaerzler | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Joel Schwaerzler | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-12 | 9.8-11.6 |
| Aces | 6.9 | 6.1 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 72.7% | 72.4% |
| Break % | 38.2% | 22.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joel Schwaerzler
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Taipei · Hard |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 24/10 | Titouan Droguet ATP Vienna · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 17/10 | Federico Cina ATP Brussels · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 03/10 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/10 | Harry Wendelken Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/09 | Alberto Barroso Campos Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Maxime Chazal Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Taipei · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/11 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Taipei · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/11 | Tin Chen Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/10 | Qian Sun Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/10 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Jay Friend Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Sidharth Rawat Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 29/09 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/09 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joel Schwaerzler vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong?
Our model gives 65% to Joel Schwaerzler, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.