Tennis · Challenger Brisbane · 10/11, 01:00
Prediction: Alafia Ayeni vs Edward Winter
Team pages: Alafia Ayeni · Edward Winter
Prediction summary
Winner
Alafia Ayeni
Edward Winter
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alafia Ayeni
5-5 (W-L)
Edward Winter
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alafia Ayeni
0–1
Edward Winter
(1 last)
- 21 Sept1-2 12-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alafia Ayeni 1470 · Edward Winter 1438
| Alafia Ayeni | Edward Winter | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Alafia Ayeni 0–1 Edward Winter (1).
- Note: Alafia Ayeni makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Alafia Ayeni | Edward Winter | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-10.8 | 9.2-10.1 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 5.7 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 72.4% | 56.2% |
| Break % | 37% | 50% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
H2H · Alafia Ayeni 0 – 1 Edward Winter (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alafia Ayeni 0–1 Edward Winter
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/25 Challenger Las Vegas | 1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alafia Ayeni
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Uisung Park Challenger Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 28/09 | Kaylan Bigun Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Michael Bassem Sobhy Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/09 | Evan Zhu Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Li Tu Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/09 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 07/09 | Carl Emil Overbeck Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Tiago Cacao Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Adrien Burdet Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Edward Winter
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Timo Legout Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Sebastian Gorzny M25 Austin |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 28/09 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Keegan Smith Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 15/09 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Andy Andrade Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/08 | John Chin Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/08 | Aidan Kim Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/08 | Steven Christie Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alafia Ayeni vs Edward Winter?
Our model gives 55% to Edward Winter, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.