Tennis · Challenger Brisbane · 10/11, 01:00
Prediction: Sebastian Gorzny vs Charles Broom
Team pages: Sebastian Gorzny · Charles Broom
Prediction summary
Winner
Sebastian Gorzny
Charles Broom
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Sebastian Gorzny
5-5 (W-L)
Charles Broom
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sebastian Gorzny 1487 · Charles Broom 1498
| Sebastian Gorzny | Charles Broom | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Sebastian Gorzny dominates on serve: 7.7 aces and 45.6% break avg.
Statistics
| Sebastian Gorzny | Charles Broom | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-12.1 | 11.7-11.1 |
| Aces | 7.7 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 72.2% | 73.6% |
| Break % | 45.6% | 52.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sebastian Gorzny
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 17/10 | Alastair Gray M25 Austin |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 15/10 | Quinn Vandecasteele M25 Austin |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/10 | Edward Winter M25 Austin |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/09 | Tristan Boyer Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Mitchell Krueger Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 21/09 | Aidan Mayo Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/09 | Andrew Johnson Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 19/09 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
Charles Broom
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Alexandre Muller Challenger Taipei · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 04/11 | Liam Broady Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/10 | Yaroslav Demin Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Akira Santillan Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Alibek Kachmazov Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 01/09 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 31/08 | Hongjin Qi Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/08 | George Loffhagen Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 27/08 | Max Basing Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sebastian Gorzny vs Charles Broom?
Our model gives 51% to Charles Broom, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.