Tennis · Challenger Brisbane · 10/11, 01:00
Prediction: Enzo Aguiard vs Akira Santillan
Team pages: Enzo Aguiard · Akira Santillan
Prediction summary
Winner
Enzo Aguiard
Akira Santillan
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Enzo Aguiard
5-5 (W-L)
Akira Santillan
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Enzo Aguiard
1–0
Akira Santillan
(1 last)
- 02 Apr2-0 13-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Enzo Aguiard 1547 · Akira Santillan 1487
| Enzo Aguiard | Akira Santillan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Enzo Aguiard (rating 1547 vs 1487).
- Akira Santillan dominates on serve: 7.9 aces and 45.8% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Enzo Aguiard 1–0 Akira Santillan (1).
Statistics
| Enzo Aguiard | Akira Santillan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-10.7 | 11-11.3 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 7.9 |
| Double faults | 1 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 70.9% | 72.8% |
| Break % | 34% | 45.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Enzo Aguiard 1 – 0 Akira Santillan (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Enzo Aguiard 1–0 Akira Santillan
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/04/26 M25 Maanshan | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Enzo Aguiard
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Jeremy Beale M25 Tamworth |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/10 | Benjamin O'Connell M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 23/10 | Isaac Becroft M25 Tamworth |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Sam Ryan Ziegann M25 Tamworth |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 21/10 | Jeremy Beale M25 Tamworth |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 06/10 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Terence Atmane Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Chuan Ding Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 24/09 | Filip Peliwo M25 Yinchuan |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Shanghui Li M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Akira Santillan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Charles Broom Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Jie Cui Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Liam Broady Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Yaroslav Demin Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 09/10 | Keisuke Saitoh Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 07/10 | Yaroslav Demin Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/10 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 29/09 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Alex Bolt ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 22/09 | Kaigaoge Kang ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Enzo Aguiard vs Akira Santillan?
Our model gives 53% to Akira Santillan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.