Tennis · ATP Stockholm · 08/11, 12:00
Prediction: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Borna Gojo
Team pages: Nikoloz Basilashvili · Borna Gojo
Prediction summary
Winner
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Borna Gojo
Estimated games
22.3Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Nikoloz Basilashvili
9-1 (W-L)
Borna Gojo
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nikoloz Basilashvili 1595 · Borna Gojo 1551
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | Borna Gojo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nikoloz Basilashvili (rating 1595 vs 1551).
- Nikoloz Basilashvili dominates on serve: 8.1 aces and 49.2% break avg.
Statistics
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | Borna Gojo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-9.3 | 12.6-11.8 |
| Aces | 8.1 | 11.5 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 80.1% | 75.9% |
| Break % | 49.2% | 37.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3 · Bet365 line 22.5
Over 22.5: 49% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 51% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Francesco Passaro ATP Stockholm · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/10 | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia ATP Vienna · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/10 | Jurij Rodionov ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/10 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Almaty · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 24/10 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 23/10 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/10 | Facundo Diaz Acosta ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/10 | Marin Cilic ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/10 | Adam Walton ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 17/10 | Taro Daniel ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Borna Gojo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Mika Brunold ATP Stockholm · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 28/10 | Dino Prizmic Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Tom Paris Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 22/10 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Lyon · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Arthur Fery ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/10 | Vitaliy Sachko ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/10 | Francesco Maestrelli ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 09/10 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Philip Henning Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 05/10 | Maxi Carrascosa Diaz Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Borna Gojo?
Our model gives 62% to Nikoloz Basilashvili, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.