Tennis · ATP Stockholm · 10/11, 12:00
Prediction: Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Max Dahlin
Team pages: Tomas Martin Etcheverry · Max Dahlin
Prediction summary
Winner
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Max Dahlin
Estimated games
24Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
5-5 (W-L)
Max Dahlin
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tomas Martin Etcheverry 1452 · Max Dahlin 1563
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | Max Dahlin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 76% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Max Dahlin (rating 1452 vs 1563).
- Max Dahlin is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | Max Dahlin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.6 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-14.2 | 12-10.3 |
| Aces | 8.4 | 7.6 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 74.7% | 75% |
| Break % | 36.5% | 37.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +2.5
Over 21.5: 67% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 33% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Paris · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 04/11 | Alex De Minaur ATP Paris · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/11 | Andrey Rublev ATP Paris · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 26/10 | Matteo Berrettini ATP Vienna · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Almaty · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 10/10 | Dalibor Svrcina ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 01/10 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 25/09 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Alex Michelsen US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 14-19 | L |
| 04/09 | Mariano Navone US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-11 | W |
Max Dahlin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Oliver Bonding M15 Ann Arbor |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/10 | Naoto Tomizawa M15 Ann Arbor |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/10 | Damir Zhalgasbay M15 Ann Arbor |
1-0 | 6-1 | W |
| 01/10 | Alexander Bernard M15 Ann Arbor |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 30/09 | Vignesh Gogineni M15 Ann Arbor |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/09 | Tung-Lin Wu Davis Cup |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Jamie Mackenzie Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 31/07 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 30/07 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Max Dahlin?
Our model gives 57% to Tomas Martin Etcheverry, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.