Tennis · ATP Stockholm · 10/11, 12:00
Prediction: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann
Team pages: Alex Michelsen · Yannick Hanfmann
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Michelsen
Yannick Hanfmann
Estimated games
25.8Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Michelsen
4-6 (W-L)
Yannick Hanfmann
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alex Michelsen
1–0
Yannick Hanfmann
(1 last)
- 16 Jun2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Michelsen 1498 · Yannick Hanfmann 1477
| Alex Michelsen | Yannick Hanfmann | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Alex Michelsen 1–0 Yannick Hanfmann (1).
Statistics
| Alex Michelsen | Yannick Hanfmann | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.5 | 1.1-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.1-13.6 | 13.3-15 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 10.9 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 69.2% | 73.6% |
| Break % | 37.7% | 35.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.8 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +3.3
Over 22.5: 72% · 1.72
Under 22.5: 28% · 2.00
H2H · Alex Michelsen 1 – 0 Yannick Hanfmann (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alex Michelsen 1–0 Yannick Hanfmann
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06/24 ATP Halle | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Michelsen
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia ATP Paris · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/11 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Paris · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 29/10 | Arthur Fils ATP Basel · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 27/10 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Basel · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 23/10 | Arthur Fils ATP Brussels · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/10 | David Goffin ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/10 | Andrea Guerrieri ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/10 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia ATP Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 08/09 | Frances Tiafoe US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 27-28 | L |
Yannick Hanfmann
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Paris · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 31/10 | Felix Balshaw ATP Paris · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/10 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Basel · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/10 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Basel · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 24/10 | Marcos Giron ATP Basel · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 19/10 | Martin Damm ATP Brussels · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/10 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 28/09 | Tomas Machac ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 31/08 | Alejandro Tabilo US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 15-24 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann?
Our model gives 63% to Alex Michelsen, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.