Tennis · ATP Stockholm · 10/11, 12:00
Prediction: Arthur Rinderknech vs Miomir Kecmanovic
Team pages: Arthur Rinderknech · Miomir Kecmanovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Arthur Rinderknech
Miomir Kecmanovic
Estimated games
25.8Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Arthur Rinderknech
5-5 (W-L)
Miomir Kecmanovic
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Arthur Rinderknech
3–1
Miomir Kecmanovic
(4 last)
- 05 Aug2-1 18-15W
- 20 May2-0 12-6W
- 30 Aug3-2 28-25W
- 21 Apr1-2 12-15L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arthur Rinderknech 1482 · Miomir Kecmanovic 1418
| Arthur Rinderknech | Miomir Kecmanovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arthur Rinderknech (rating 1482 vs 1418).
- Arthur Rinderknech dominates on serve: 12.4 aces and 48.6% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Arthur Rinderknech 3–1 Miomir Kecmanovic (4).
Statistics
| Arthur Rinderknech | Miomir Kecmanovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 22% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.6 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.4-14.9 | 11.5-13.4 |
| Aces | 12.4 | 4.5 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 77.5% | 69.2% |
| Break % | 48.6% | 28.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.8 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +3.3
Over 22.5: 72% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 28% · 1.80
H2H · Arthur Rinderknech 3 – 1 Miomir Kecmanovic (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Arthur Rinderknech 3–1 Miomir Kecmanovic
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08/26 ATP Montreal | 2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 20/05/25 ATP Geneva | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/08/21 US Open | 3-2 | 28-25 | W |
| 21/04/21 ATP Belgrade | 1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arthur Rinderknech
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Ben Shelton ATP Paris · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 04/11 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Paris · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/10 | Jerome Kym ATP Basel · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/09 | Felix Auger Aliassime Davis Cup |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 18/09 | Liam Draxl Davis Cup |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Daniil Medvedev US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 12-18 | L |
| 02/09 | Jaume Munar US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 20-13 | W |
| 30/08 | Sho Shimabukuro US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 25-17 | W |
| 16/08 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 08/08 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
Miomir Kecmanovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Paris · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 31/10 | James Duckworth ATP Paris · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 24/10 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Basel · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/10 | James Duckworth ATP Almaty · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Alexander Shevchenko Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Jakub Mensik ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/09 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 24/09 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/09 | Edas Butvilas Davis Cup |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arthur Rinderknech vs Miomir Kecmanovic?
Our model gives 64% to Arthur Rinderknech, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.