Tennis · ATP Stockholm · 10/11, 12:00
Prediction: James Duckworth vs Cameron Norrie
Team pages: James Duckworth · Cameron Norrie
Prediction summary
Winner
James Duckworth
Cameron Norrie
Estimated games
23.1Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
James Duckworth
3-7 (W-L)
Cameron Norrie
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
James Duckworth
0–1
Cameron Norrie
(1 last)
- 30 Jul0-2 8-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · James Duckworth 1411 · Cameron Norrie 1463
| James Duckworth | Cameron Norrie | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cameron Norrie (rating 1411 vs 1463).
- Head-to-head: James Duckworth 0–1 Cameron Norrie (1).
Statistics
| James Duckworth | Cameron Norrie | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 22% (9) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.7 | 1.1-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-12.7 | 12.3-14 |
| Aces | 8.2 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 71.6% | 64.6% |
| Break % | 19.7% | 42.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +0.6
Over 22.5: 54% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 46% · 1.80
H2H · James Duckworth 0 – 1 Cameron Norrie (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · James Duckworth 0–1 Cameron Norrie
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/26 ATP Los Cabos | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
James Duckworth
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Paris · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 24/10 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Basel · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/10 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Almaty · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Luciano Darderi ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/10 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/10 | Liam Draxl Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Kamil Majchrzak Davis Cup |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 03/09 | Yibing Wu US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 9-19 | L |
Cameron Norrie
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Ben Shelton ATP Paris · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/11 | Matteo Arnaldi ATP Paris · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 29/10 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Vienna · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 27/10 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/10 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Lyon · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 08/10 | Dalibor Svrcina ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 01/10 | Alexander Zverev ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Luca Van Assche US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 14-24 | L |
| 16/08 | Alexander Zverev ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 13/08 | Dino Prizmic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in James Duckworth vs Cameron Norrie?
Our model gives 65% to Cameron Norrie, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.