Tennis · Challenger Brisbane · 10/11, 01:00
Prediction: Carl Emil Overbeck vs Florian Broska
Team pages: Carl Emil Overbeck · Florian Broska
Prediction summary
Winner
Carl Emil Overbeck
Florian Broska
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Carl Emil Overbeck
5-5 (W-L)
Florian Broska
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carl Emil Overbeck 1468 · Florian Broska 1477
| Carl Emil Overbeck | Florian Broska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Carl Emil Overbeck | Florian Broska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 29% (7) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1.1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-10.8 | 12.6-13.4 |
| Aces | 6.3 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 71.3% | 68.8% |
| Break % | 30.3% | 45% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carl Emil Overbeck
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Taipei · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/11 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/10 | Yaroslav Demin Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Luca Potenza Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Ryan Peniston Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/08 | Marcello Serafini M25 Fano |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 07/08 | Leonardo Primucci M25 Fano |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/08 | Stefano D'Agostino M25 Fano |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Florian Broska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Milos Karol Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Sergi Perez Contri Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 11/10 | Adrian Oetzbach Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 07/10 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Braga · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 02/10 | Gabi Adrian Boitan M25 Slobozia |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 01/10 | Rares Teodor Pieleanu M25 Slobozia |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 30/09 | Robert Guna M25 Slobozia |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/09 | Federico Arnaboldi Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Sean Cuenin Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carl Emil Overbeck vs Florian Broska?
Our model gives 54% to Carl Emil Overbeck, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.