Tennis · Challenger Matsuyama · 08/11, 05:00
Prediction: Keisuke Saitoh vs Yusuke Takahashi
Team pages: Keisuke Saitoh · Yusuke Takahashi
Prediction summary
Winner
Keisuke Saitoh
Yusuke Takahashi
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Keisuke Saitoh
4-6 (W-L)
Yusuke Takahashi
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Keisuke Saitoh
2–5
Yusuke Takahashi
(7 last)
- 05 Oct2-1 16-11W
- 18 Sept0-2 6-13L
- 06 Apr0-2 2-12L
- 20 Sept2-0 12-7W
- 04 Apr1-2 13-15L
- 03 Mar0-2 4-12L
- 04 Apr0-2 3-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Keisuke Saitoh 1564 · Yusuke Takahashi 1443
| Keisuke Saitoh | Yusuke Takahashi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Keisuke Saitoh (rating 1564 vs 1443).
- Keisuke Saitoh is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Keisuke Saitoh 2–5 Yusuke Takahashi (7).
Statistics
| Keisuke Saitoh | Yusuke Takahashi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-9.3 | 11.2-13.1 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 72.5% | 67.3% |
| Break % | 59.3% | 39.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
H2H · Keisuke Saitoh 2 – 5 Yusuke Takahashi (7)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Keisuke Saitoh 2–5 Yusuke Takahashi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/26 Challenger Wuning | 2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 18/09/25 ITF M25 Takasaki | 0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 06/04/25 M15 Kashiwa | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/09/24 ITF M25 Takasaki | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/04/23 ITF M25 Kashiwa | 1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 03/03/22 ITF M25 Bendigo | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/04/19 M15 Kashiwa | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Keisuke Saitoh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Jay Friend Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Akira Santillan Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 07/10 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/10 | Dominik Palan Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/10 | Yusuke Takahashi Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 04/10 | Zicong Wang Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 29/09 | Mattia Bellucci Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Jerry Roddick M25 Sapporo |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 12/09 | Seong Chan Hong M25 Sapporo |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Yusuke Takahashi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Christian Langmo Challenger Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 16/10 | Sergey Fomin M25 Qian Daohu |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Jamie Mackenzie M25 Qian Daohu |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 13/10 | Maksim Shin M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/10 | Keisuke Saitoh Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 04/10 | Siddhant Banthia Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/09 | Jesse Delaney Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 08/09 | Hikaru Shiraishi M25 Sapporo |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Chase Ferguson M25 Urayasu |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 28/08 | Enzo Aguiard M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Keisuke Saitoh vs Yusuke Takahashi?
Our model gives 66% to Keisuke Saitoh, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.