Tennis · Challenger Matsuyama · 08/11, 02:00

Prediction: Benjamin Hassan vs Kousuke Ogura

Team pages: Benjamin Hassan · Kousuke Ogura

Prediction summary
Winner
67% 33%
Benjamin Hassan Kousuke Ogura
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Benjamin Hassan 6-4 (W-L)
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Kousuke Ogura 5-5 (W-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Benjamin Hassan 1552 · Kousuke Ogura 1533
Benjamin HassanKousuke Ogura
Our model53%47%
Market79%21%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Benjamin HassanKousuke Ogura
Win %70%60%
Win % · Hard 50% (2) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.81.4-1
Games (G-P)11.1-1012.6-11
Aces3.82.8
Double faults2.41.5
1st serve %68.1%68.8%
Break %40.2%41.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Benjamin Hassan

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/10 Moez Echargui
Challenger Brest · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
25/10 Ryan Peniston
Challenger Brest · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
20/10 Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Challenger Lisbon · Clay
2-1 13-12 W
19/10 Pedro Rodenas
Challenger Lisbon · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
18/10 Szymon Kielan
Challenger Lisbon · Clay
2-0 12-8 W
13/10 Zsombor Piros
Challenger Maia · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
12/10 Ryan Nijboer
Challenger Maia · Clay
2-1 19-18 W
11/10 Carlos Taberner
Challenger Maia · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
05/10 Ryan Nijboer
Challenger Braga · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
04/10 Rafael Izquierdo Luque
Challenger Braga · Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Kousuke Ogura

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/10 James Van Herzeele
M15 Singapore · ~Hard
2-1 15-13 W
24/10 Maxime Janvier
M15 Singapore · ~Hard
1-2 12-16 L
23/10 Ali Habib
M15 Singapore · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
22/10 Seonyong Han
M15 Singapore · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
21/10 Alexander Watanabe Eriksson
M15 Singapore · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
04/10 Yuta Kikuchi
Challenger Wuning · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
02/10 Ryuki Matsuda
M15 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 10-14 L
01/10 Dong Ju Kim
M15 Luan · ~Hard
2-1 17-14 W
30/09 Minghui Zhang
M15 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
14/09 Alexandr Binda
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
1-2 14-16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Benjamin Hassan vs Kousuke Ogura?

Our model gives 67% to Benjamin Hassan, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.