Tennis · Challenger Matsuyama · 08/11, 05:00
Prediction: Luca Staeheli vs Saki Tange
Team pages: Luca Staeheli · Saki Tange
Prediction summary
Winner
Luca Staeheli
Saki Tange
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Luca Staeheli
5-5 (W-L)
Saki Tange
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luca Staeheli 1539 · Saki Tange 1478
| Luca Staeheli | Saki Tange | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luca Staeheli (rating 1539 vs 1478).
- Luca Staeheli is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Luca Staeheli | Saki Tange | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-7.5 | 9.1-9.5 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 73.7% | 62.8% |
| Break % | 39.6% | 45% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luca Staeheli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Taipei · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/10 | Mikalai Haliak M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Boris Butulija M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-1 | W |
| 23/10 | Daniil Sarksian M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 22/10 | Maksim Shin M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/10 | Haolong He M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/09 | Andy Andrade Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Oliver Okonkwo Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 28/09 | Alex Rybakov Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 27/09 | Bruno Kuzuhara Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Saki Tange
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Yu Tanaka M15 Yanagawa City |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 27/10 | Kazushi Idogaki M15 Yanagawa City |
2-1 | 10-8 | W |
| 10/09 | Sanhui Shin M25 Sapporo |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Alejandro Hayen M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/09 | Riku Nakamoto M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/09 | Hikaru Shiraishi M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Sergey Petrov M15 Astana |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 27/07 | Daniel Yurekli M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Yuto Oki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luca Staeheli vs Saki Tange?
Our model gives 70% to Luca Staeheli, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.