Tennis · Challenger Brisbane · 08/11, 05:30
Prediction: Li Tu vs Sam Ryan Ziegann
Team pages: Li Tu · Sam Ryan Ziegann
Prediction summary
Winner
Li Tu
Sam Ryan Ziegann
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Li Tu
6-4 (W-L)
Sam Ryan Ziegann
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Li Tu 1481 · Sam Ryan Ziegann 1507
| Li Tu | Sam Ryan Ziegann | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Sam Ryan Ziegann dominates on serve: 6 aces and 41.9% break avg.
Statistics
| Li Tu | Sam Ryan Ziegann | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-10.7 | 10.9-11.2 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 6 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.6% | 69.4% |
| Break % | 45% | 41.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Li Tu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Casey Hoole M25 Tamworth |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 21/10 | Brandon Walkin M25 Tamworth |
1-0 | 6-5 | W |
| 15/10 | Alastair Gray M25 Austin |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/10 | Kaylan Bigun M25 Austin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/09 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 28/09 | James Trotter Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/09 | Nicolas Oliveira Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/09 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Roger Pascual Ferra Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Quinn Vandecasteele ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Sam Ryan Ziegann
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Jeremy Beale M25 Tamworth |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/10 | Chase Ferguson M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/10 | Chen Dong M25 Tamworth |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 22/10 | Enzo Aguiard M25 Tamworth |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 21/10 | Harrison Satara M25 Tamworth |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 09/10 | Philip Sekulic M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Joshua Charlton M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/10 | Luca Connaughton M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Jake Delaney M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/09 | Filip Peliwo Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Li Tu vs Sam Ryan Ziegann?
Our model gives 69% to Li Tu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.