Tennis · Challenger Brisbane · 08/11, 04:00
Prediction: Shinji Hazawa vs Dominik Palan
Team pages: Shinji Hazawa · Dominik Palan
Prediction summary
Winner
Shinji Hazawa
Dominik Palan
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Shinji Hazawa
7-3 (W-L)
Dominik Palan
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Shinji Hazawa
1–0
Dominik Palan
(1 last)
- 13 Apr2-1 18-17W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shinji Hazawa 1503 · Dominik Palan 1439
| Shinji Hazawa | Dominik Palan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shinji Hazawa (rating 1503 vs 1439).
- Dominik Palan dominates on serve: 9.1 aces and 54.1% break avg.
- Shinji Hazawa is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Shinji Hazawa 1–0 Dominik Palan (1).
- Note: Dominik Palan makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Shinji Hazawa | Dominik Palan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 0.7-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10.5 | 10.9-13.9 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 9.1 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 68.5% | 73.9% |
| Break % | 40.6% | 54.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
H2H · Shinji Hazawa 1 – 0 Dominik Palan (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shinji Hazawa 1–0 Dominik Palan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/04/22 ITF M15 Chiang Rai | 2-1 | 18-17 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shinji Hazawa
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Taiyo Yamanaka M15 Yanagawa City |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 30/10 | Markus Malaszszak M15 Yanagawa City |
2-0 | 8-2 | W |
| 29/10 | Hyu Kawanishi M15 Yanagawa City |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/10 | Kazuma Kawachi M15 Yanagawa City |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 21/10 | Chun-Chien Hou M15 Tanagura |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Hiromasa Koyama M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 19/08 | Masamichi Imamura M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Taiyo Yamanaka M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 8-2 | W |
| 12/08 | Venedikt Tsirikidze M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Dominik Palan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Taipei · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 25/10 | Egor Pleshivtsev Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 20/10 | Liam Broady Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 19/10 | Semen Pankin Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/10 | Arthur Weber Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 14/10 | Sergey Fomin M25 Qian Daohu |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 06/10 | Keisuke Saitoh Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Terence Atmane Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Kuan-Shou Chen M25 Yinchuan |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Martin Borisiouk Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shinji Hazawa vs Dominik Palan?
Our model gives 52% to Dominik Palan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.