Tennis · Challenger Brisbane · 08/11, 02:30
Prediction: Anton Shepp vs Hayden Jones
Team pages: Anton Shepp · Hayden Jones
Prediction summary
Winner
Anton Shepp
Hayden Jones
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Anton Shepp
5-5 (W-L)
Hayden Jones
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anton Shepp 1533 · Hayden Jones 1551
| Anton Shepp | Hayden Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Anton Shepp dominates on serve: 6.7 aces and 42.9% break avg.
Statistics
| Anton Shepp | Hayden Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.4-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-10.6 | 11.5-8.7 |
| Aces | 6.7 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 2 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 71.1% | 75% |
| Break % | 42.9% | 35.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anton Shepp
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Blake Ellis M25 Tamworth |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 29/10 | Zane Stevens M25 Tamworth |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 28/10 | Ethan Cook M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/10 | Isaac Becroft M25 Tamworth |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Reece Falck M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/10 | Kristjan Tamm M25 Qian Daohu |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 14/10 | Zichen Shao M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 09/10 | Yanki Erel M25 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 08/10 | Taiyo Yamanaka M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/10 | Lingxi Zhao M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Hayden Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Moerani Bouzige M25 Tamworth |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Stefan Vujic M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Colin Sinclair M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 07/10 | Makoto Ochi M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/10 | Casey Hoole M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 03/10 | Derek Pham M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/10 | Scott Jones M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/10 | Arjun Mehrotra M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 30/09 | Harrison Satara M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/09 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Bali |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anton Shepp vs Hayden Jones?
Our model gives 58% to Anton Shepp, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.