Tennis · Challenger Charlottesville · 07/11, 18:00
Prediction: Aidan Mayo vs Andy Andrade
Team pages: Aidan Mayo · Andy Andrade
Prediction summary
Winner
Aidan Mayo
Andy Andrade
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Aidan Mayo
8-2 (W-L)
Andy Andrade
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Aidan Mayo
2–2
Andy Andrade
(4 last)
- 30 Aug2-0 13-9W
- 23 Apr0-2 10-13L
- 16 Mar0-2 10-13L
- 30 Jun2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aidan Mayo 1593 · Andy Andrade 1562
| Aidan Mayo | Andy Andrade | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Aidan Mayo dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 49% break avg.
- Note: Andy Andrade makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Aidan Mayo | Andy Andrade | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-8.4 | 11.4-10.9 |
| Aces | 6.1 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 81.5% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 49% | 32.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
H2H · Aidan Mayo 2 – 2 Andy Andrade (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aidan Mayo 2–2 Andy Andrade
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/26 Challenger Kingston | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/04/26 Challenger Savannah | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/03/26 Challenger Morelos | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/06/25 Challenger Cary | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aidan Mayo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/11 | Alastair Gray Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/11 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/11 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/11 | Duncan Chan Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 31/10 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/10 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/10 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 27/10 | Hynek Barton Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/10 | Sander Jong Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
1-2 | 18-14 | L |
Andy Andrade
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 06/11 | James Trotter Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 03/11 | Harry Wendelken Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 27/10 | Mitchell Krueger Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/09 | Luca Staeheli Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/09 | Trevor Svajda Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/09 | Nishesh Basavareddy Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Darwin Blanch Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aidan Mayo vs Andy Andrade?
Our model gives 59% to Aidan Mayo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.