Tennis · UTR Pro Fayetteville · 07/11, 19:30
Prediction: Mohammad Alkotop vs Kai-Luca Ampaw
Team pages: Mohammad Alkotop
Prediction summary
Winner
Mohammad Alkotop
Kai-Luca Ampaw
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Mohammad Alkotop
7-3 (W-L)
Kai-Luca Ampaw
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mohammad Alkotop 1501 · Kai-Luca Ampaw 1556
| Mohammad Alkotop | Kai-Luca Ampaw | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kai-Luca Ampaw (rating 1501 vs 1556).
- Kai-Luca Ampaw is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Kai-Luca Ampaw makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Mohammad Alkotop | Kai-Luca Ampaw | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-11 | 14.2-12.6 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 4.5 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 5.7 |
| 1st serve % | 56.6% | 69.5% |
| Break % | 39% | 46.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mohammad Alkotop
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Lukas Palovic UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/11 | Bautista Leguizamon UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/11 | Francisco Jose Perez Esnaola UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/11 | Timothee Andriveau UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Asian Games |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 18/07 | Ali Yazdani Davis Cup |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 16/07 | Bill Chan Davis Cup |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Nischal Spurling UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/12 | Azariah Rusher UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 05/12 | Erik Schiessl UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
Kai-Luca Ampaw
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Brendan Boland UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/11 | Brett Gloria UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 04/11 | Rudy Ceccon UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/11 | Umit Ege Cankus UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 25/07 | Cody Benton UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 24/07 | Filip Apltauer UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 23/07 | Juan David Velasquez UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 23/07 | Blake Hilsen UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 21/07 | Azariah Rusher UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Dorian Kos UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mohammad Alkotop vs Kai-Luca Ampaw?
Our model gives 62% to Mohammad Alkotop, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.