Tennis · ATP Stockholm · 07/11, 12:30
Prediction: Damir Dzumhur vs Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Team pages: Damir Dzumhur · Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Prediction summary
Winner
Damir Dzumhur
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Estimated games
21.8Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Damir Dzumhur
7-3 (W-L)
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Damir Dzumhur 1554 · Inaki Montes-De La Torre 1505
| Damir Dzumhur | Inaki Montes-De La Torre | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Damir Dzumhur (rating 1554 vs 1505).
- Note: Inaki Montes-De La Torre makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Damir Dzumhur | Inaki Montes-De La Torre | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-10.5 | 12-9.7 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 65.8% | 71.2% |
| Break % | 40.1% | 54.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -0.7
Over 22.5: 45% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 55% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Damir Dzumhur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Sebastian Baez ATP Paris · Hard |
1-1 | 12-13 | L |
| 22/10 | Zizou Bergs ATP Brussels · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Dino Prizmic ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 18/10 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/10 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/10 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/10 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 13/10 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 08/10 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 07/10 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Taranto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Toby Samuel Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 03/10 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/10 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Luca Potenza Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/09 | Alec Deckers M25 Setubal |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 26/09 | Michael Agwi M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/09 | Lui Maxted M25 Setubal |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 24/09 | Fausto Tabacco M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Damir Dzumhur vs Inaki Montes-De La Torre?
Our model gives 60% to Damir Dzumhur, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.