Tennis · W15 Neuquen · 06/11, 15:30

Prediction: Antonia Rivera vs Josefina Estevez

Team pages: Antonia Rivera · Josefina Estevez

Prediction summary
Winner
48% 52%
Antonia Rivera Josefina Estevez
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Antonia Rivera 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLLLWLWW
Josefina Estevez 8-2 (W-L)
WWLWWWLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Antonia Rivera 1462 · Josefina Estevez 1582
Antonia RiveraJosefina Estevez
Our model33%67%
Market61%39%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Josefina Estevez (rating 1462 vs 1582).
  • Josefina Estevez is in better form: 80% recent wins.
  • Note: Josefina Estevez makes many double faults (4.7/match).

Statistics

Antonia RiveraJosefina Estevez
Win %30%80%
Win % · Clay 20% (5) –
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.41.7-0.5
Games (G-P)8.4-10.911.9-6.8
Aces0.40.3
Double faults34.7
1st serve %53.6%62.1%
Break %50.4%60.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Antonia Rivera

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/11 Zoe Doldan
W15 Neuquen
2-0 12-5 W
04/11 Agustina Tarantola
W15 Neuquen
2-0 13-9 W
28/10 Leyre Romero Gormaz
WTA Curitiba · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
26/10 Eduarda Gomes
WTA Curitiba · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
12/09 Justina Mikulskyte
WTA Sao Paulo · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
07/09 Carolina Alves
WTA Barranquilla · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
26/08 Lidia Encheva
W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
18/08 Samira De Stefano
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 12-14 L
11/08 Darya Astakhova
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
04/08 Kristina Penickova
W35 Southaven
0-2 7-13 L

Josefina Estevez

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/11 Luciana Agudelo
W15 Neuquen
2-0 12-3 W
04/11 Luna Morini
W15 Neuquen
2-0 12-4 W
31/10 Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi
W15 Neuquen
2-0 12-4 W
30/10 Ana Victoria Gobbi Monllau
W15 Neuquen
2-1 17-13 W
29/10 Melissa Boyden
W15 Neuquen
2-0 12-6 W
28/10 Luciana Agudelo
W15 Neuquen
2-0 12-1 W
21/10 Maria Florencia Urrutia
W15 Campina Grande
1-2 13-16 L
17/10 Barbara Gatica
W15 Maceio
0-2 4-12 L
16/10 Fernanda Labrana
W15 Maceio
2-0 13-8 W
15/10 Maria Fernanda Lopes
W15 Maceio
2-0 12-1 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Antonia Rivera vs Josefina Estevez?

Our model gives 52% to Josefina Estevez, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.