Tennis · WTA Chennai · 06/11, 15:00
Prediction: Anastasia Zakharova vs Lucrezia Stefanini
Team pages: Anastasia Zakharova · Lucrezia Stefanini
Prediction summary
Winner
Anastasia Zakharova
Lucrezia Stefanini
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Anastasia Zakharova
4-6 (W-L)
Lucrezia Stefanini
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Anastasia Zakharova
0–3
Lucrezia Stefanini
(3 last)
- 11 Aug0-2 6-12L
- 10 Jan0-2 8-13L
- 05 Feb0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anastasia Zakharova 1477 · Lucrezia Stefanini 1562
| Anastasia Zakharova | Lucrezia Stefanini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucrezia Stefanini (rating 1477 vs 1562).
- Lucrezia Stefanini is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Anastasia Zakharova 0–3 Lucrezia Stefanini (3).
Statistics
| Anastasia Zakharova | Lucrezia Stefanini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.2 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-9.5 | 12.2-8.7 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 60.5% | 60.3% |
| Break % | 51.2% | 54.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
H2H · Anastasia Zakharova 0 – 3 Lucrezia Stefanini (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Anastasia Zakharova 0–3 Lucrezia Stefanini
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08/26 WTA Cincinnati | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/01/23 Australian Open Women | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/02/22 ITF W25 Sharm El Sheikh | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anastasia Zakharova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Vaishnavi Adkar WTA Chennai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/11 | Polina Iatcenko WTA Chennai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/10 | Magda Linette WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/10 | Teodora Kostovic WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Ruien Zhang WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/10 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/10 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 10/10 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Belinda Bencic WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Lucrezia Stefanini
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Simona Waltert WTA Chennai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/11 | Rada Zolotareva WTA Chennai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/10 | Ayla Aksu WTA Courmayeur · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 27/10 | Isabella Maria Serban WTA Courmayeur · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/10 | Bianca Andreescu WTA Rovereto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Harmony Tan WTA Rovereto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Laura Mair WTA Rovereto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 11/10 | Ayla Aksu WTA Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 10/10 | Anna Blinkova WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/10 | Polina Iatcenko WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anastasia Zakharova vs Lucrezia Stefanini?
Our model gives 57% to Lucrezia Stefanini, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.