Tennis · M15 Pembroke · 05/11, 15:00

Prediction: Kaipo Marshall vs Nathan Cox

Team pages: Kaipo Marshall · Nathan Cox

Prediction summary
Winner
28% 72%
Kaipo Marshall Nathan Cox
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Kaipo Marshall 1-9 (W-L)
LLLLLLWLLL
Nathan Cox 5-5 (W-L)
LWWLLLLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kaipo Marshall 1423 · Nathan Cox 1482
Kaipo MarshallNathan Cox
Our model42%58%
Market17%83%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nathan Cox (rating 1423 vs 1482).
  • Note: Kaipo Marshall makes many double faults (4.3/match).

Statistics

Kaipo MarshallNathan Cox
Win %20%40%
Win % · Clay 0% (1) 33% (3)
Sets (G-P)0.4-1.71.1-1.4
Games (G-P)7-11.710.7-9.9
Aces3.82.7
Double faults4.32.5
1st serve %60.6%65.4%
Break %43.1%39.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kaipo Marshall

LWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/11 Alvin Nicholas Tudorica
M15 Pembroke
2-1 17-15 W
29/06 Steffan Van Weldam
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
0-2 4-11 L
13/06 Jake Fellows
Davis Cup
0-2 0-12 L
12/06 Daniel Azar
Davis Cup
2-0 12-6 W
11/06 Paulo Pocasangre
Davis Cup
0-2 6-12 L
10/06 Lorenzo Claverie
Davis Cup
0-2 9-13 L
09/06 Rafael Botran Neutze
Davis Cup
0-2 7-12 L
02/06 Facundo Yunis
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
26/05 Goncalo Marques
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
19/05 Loan Lestir
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L

Nathan Cox

WLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/11 John Chin
M15 Pembroke
2-1 15-13 W
23/09 Antonin Witz
M15 Columbia
1-2 12-16 L
22/09 Shu Matsuoka
M15 Columbia
2-0 13-6 W
19/08 Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
18/08 Bautista De La Pena
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-1 18-11 W
10/08 Mateo Del Pino
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
1-2 10-8 L
17/07 Axel Nefve
M15 Rochester
0-2 8-12 L
15/07 Zac Hamill
M15 Rochester
2-0 12-1 W
07/07 Jonah Braswell
M25 Dallas
1-2 8-11 L
23/06 Hiroki Sakagawa
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
0-2 6-9 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kaipo Marshall vs Nathan Cox?

Our model gives 72% to Nathan Cox, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.