Tennis · Challenger Bratislava · 05/11, 13:30
Prediction: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig
Team pages: Tom Gentzsch · Matej Dodig
Prediction summary
Winner
Tom Gentzsch
Matej Dodig
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Tom Gentzsch
5-5 (W-L)
Matej Dodig
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tom Gentzsch 1529 · Matej Dodig 1586
| Tom Gentzsch | Matej Dodig | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matej Dodig (rating 1529 vs 1586).
Statistics
| Tom Gentzsch | Matej Dodig | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-12.5 | 12.7-9.2 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 5.2 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 67.6% | 70.7% |
| Break % | 44.9% | 40.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tom Gentzsch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Martin Damm Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/10 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz ATP Brussels · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 16/10 | Damir Dzumhur Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 13/10 | Niels Visker Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 24/09 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 22/09 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/09 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 16/09 | Martin Krumich Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/09 | Alan Wazny Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 19-12 | W |
Matej Dodig
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Michal Krajci Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/10 | Marco Trungelliti Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 20/10 | Joao Domingues Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/10 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Maia · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 16/10 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/10 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 14/10 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/10 | Elmer Moller Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 10/10 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig?
Our model gives 57% to Matej Dodig, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.