Tennis · M15 Monastir · 05/11, 10:00

Prediction: Maxence Rivet vs Cesar Bouchelaghem

Team pages: Maxence Rivet · Cesar Bouchelaghem

Prediction summary
Winner
45% 55%
Maxence Rivet Cesar Bouchelaghem
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Maxence Rivet 8-2 (W-L)
WWLWWWWLWW
Cesar Bouchelaghem 5-5 (W-L)
WWWWLLWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maxence Rivet 1560 · Cesar Bouchelaghem 1510
Maxence RivetCesar Bouchelaghem
Our model57%43%
Market35%65%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maxence Rivet (rating 1560 vs 1510).

Statistics

Maxence RivetCesar Bouchelaghem
Win %70%60%
Win % · Hard 71% (7) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.61.2-0.9
Games (G-P)11.8-8.310.1-8.7
Aces3.33
Double faults2.92.2
1st serve %70.2%67%
Break %47.9%43.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maxence Rivet

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/11 Nikolai Barsukov
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
03/11 Louis Tessa
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
23/10 Robin Bertrand
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
22/10 Nikola Djukic Valera
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
21/10 Daniel Jade
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-6 W
20/10 Diogo Coelho
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
13/10 Josh Manuel
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 13-13 L
07/10 Emile Hudd
M15 Rodez
0-2 11-14 L
06/10 Jules Alias
M15 Rodez
2-0 13-7 W
05/10 Paul Theate
M15 Rodez
2-0 12-4 W

Cesar Bouchelaghem

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/11 Charles Chen
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 15-13 W
28/10 Benito Sanchez Martinez
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
22/10 Nazim Makhlouf
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
21/10 Gilberto Ravasio
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
20/09 Matteo Martineau
Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
16/09 Benjamin Willwerth
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
13/09 Oscar Brown
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
12/09 Kasra Rahmani
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
11/09 Roan Jones
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
10/09 Kris Van Wyk
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maxence Rivet vs Cesar Bouchelaghem?

Our model gives 55% to Cesar Bouchelaghem, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.