Tennis · W35 Liberec · 05/11, 10:00
Prediction: Denisa Zoldakova vs Federica Urgesi
Team pages: Denisa Zoldakova · Federica Urgesi
Prediction summary
Winner
Denisa Zoldakova
Federica Urgesi
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Denisa Zoldakova
7-3 (W-L)
Federica Urgesi
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Denisa Zoldakova 1549 · Federica Urgesi 1597
| Denisa Zoldakova | Federica Urgesi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Federica Urgesi (rating 1549 vs 1597).
- Federica Urgesi is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Denisa Zoldakova | Federica Urgesi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 100% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.8-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-9.9 | 11.8-6.4 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 62.2% | 70.4% |
| Break % | 52.8% | 58.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Denisa Zoldakova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Jade Groen W35 Liberec |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/10 | Zuzanna Pawlikowska W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 09/10 | Katarina Kuzmova W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/10 | Tereza Krejcova W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 06/10 | Sabine Rutlauka W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/09 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/09 | Giorgia Pedone WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/09 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Montreux · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 30/08 | Barbora Palicova W75 Bytom |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 29/08 | Justina Mikulskyte W75 Bytom |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Federica Urgesi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Mara Guth W35 Liberec |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/10 | Valentini Grammatikopoulou W35 Malta |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/10 | Angelica Raggi W35 Malta |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/10 | Isis Louise Van den Broek W35 Malta |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 28/10 | Ann Akasha Ceuca W35 Malta |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/10 | Aran Teixido Garcia W35 Loule · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/10 | Weronika Falkowska W35 Loule · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 23/10 | Carmen Lopez Martinez W35 Loule · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/10 | Joy De Zeeuw W35 Loule · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/10 | Min Liu W35 Loule · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Denisa Zoldakova vs Federica Urgesi?
Our model gives 53% to Federica Urgesi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.