Tennis · M25 Heraklion · 05/11, 09:00
Prediction: Lorenzo Angelini vs Alexandre Aubriot
Team pages: Lorenzo Angelini · Alexandre Aubriot
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Angelini
Alexandre Aubriot
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Angelini
5-5 (W-L)
Alexandre Aubriot
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Angelini 1508 · Alexandre Aubriot 1519
| Lorenzo Angelini | Alexandre Aubriot | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lorenzo Angelini | Alexandre Aubriot | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-11 | 9.9-9.1 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 57.2% | 70.8% |
| Break % | 54.1% | 41.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Angelini
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Nikita Mashtakov M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/10 | Matteo Gribaldo M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Lorenzo Carboni M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 21/10 | Arthur Bellegy M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/10 | Raffaele Ciurnelli M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 11/10 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Catania · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko Challenger Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Gianluca Cadenasso Challenger Bari · Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 28/09 | Garrett Johns Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 23/09 | Matteo Sciahbasi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Alexandre Aubriot
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Henri Haupt M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 03/11 | Adrian Constantin M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/10 | Miles Jones M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Etienne Donnet M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 21/10 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Filip Krolo M15 Sibenik |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Marko Topo M25 Zlatibor |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/09 | George Lazarov M25 Zlatibor |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/09 | Nico Hipfl M25 Zlatibor |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/09 | Gilberto Ravasio M25 Zlatibor |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Angelini vs Alexandre Aubriot?
Our model gives 56% to Lorenzo Angelini, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.