Tennis · ATP Paris MD · 05/11, 11:00
Prediction: Luz/Matos vs Miedler/Oberleitner
Team pages: Luz/Matos · Miedler/Oberleitner
Prediction summary
Winner
Luz/Matos
Miedler/Oberleitner
Estimated games
25.9
Recent form · 10 last
Luz/Matos
6-4 (W-L)
Miedler/Oberleitner
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luz/Matos 1514 · Miedler/Oberleitner 1615
| Luz/Matos | Miedler/Oberleitner | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Miedler/Oberleitner (rating 1514 vs 1615).
- Miedler/Oberleitner is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Luz/Matos | Miedler/Oberleitner | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.9-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.4-13.8 | 15.7-12.5 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 7.7 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 75.8% | 85.5% |
| Break % | 25% | 26.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luz/Matos
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Navone/Tabilo ATP Paris MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/10 | Harrison/Skupski ATP Vienna MD · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Cerundolo/Michelsen ATP Brussels MD · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/10 | Arends/Johnson ATP Brussels MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/10 | Cabral/Tracy ATP Shanghai MD · Hard |
1-2 | 25-28 | L |
| 01/10 | Cash/Erler ATP Beijing MD · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 19/09 | Paul/Stricker Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/09 | Brandon Carpico/Filin US Open MD · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 23/08 | Frantzen/Haase ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 22/08 | Nys/Roger-Vasselin ATP Cincinnati MD · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Miedler/Oberleitner
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Reymond/Sanchez ATP Paris MD · Hard |
2-1 | 21-12 | W |
| 01/11 | Seggerman/Tien ATP Vienna MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 31/10 | Andreozzi/Guinard ATP Vienna MD · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/10 | Heliovaara/Patten ATP Vienna MD · Hard |
2-1 | 23-18 | W |
| 29/10 | Nouza/Venus ATP Vienna MD · Hard |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 25/10 | Bhambri/Seggerman ATP Almaty MD · Hard |
1-2 | 15-23 | L |
| 24/10 | Balaji/King ATP Almaty MD · Hard |
2-1 | 21-15 | W |
| 23/10 | Cukierman/Romboli ATP Almaty MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/10 | Omarkhanov/Zhukayev ATP Almaty MD · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/10 | Cabral/Tracy ATP Shanghai MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luz/Matos vs Miedler/Oberleitner?
Our model gives 61% to Miedler/Oberleitner, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.