Tennis · M25 Guadalajara · 04/11, 18:30
Prediction: Rodrigo Alujas vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
Team pages: Rodrigo Alujas · Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
Prediction summary
Winner
Rodrigo Alujas
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Rodrigo Alujas
4-6 (W-L)
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rodrigo Alujas 1504 · Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes 1518
| Rodrigo Alujas | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Rodrigo Alujas | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-9.4 | 10.4-10.2 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 1 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 63.7% | 62.4% |
| Break % | 46% | 67.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rodrigo Alujas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Alan Sau Franco M25 Guadalajara |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/11 | Frazier Rengifo M15 Mazatlan |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 31/10 | Rafael De Alba M15 Mazatlan |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 30/10 | Maxwell McKennon M15 Mazatlan |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/10 | Marco Alvarez M15 Mazatlan |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/10 | Petros Tsitsipas M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Max Houkes M25 Kigali |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Calvin Hemery M25 Kigali |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Mehluli Don Ayanda Sibanda M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/08 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Alberto Odiseo Alvarado Berrospi M25 Guadalajara |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/10 | Adrian Oetzbach M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 22/10 | Andrea De Marchi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/10 | Gabriele Bosio M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/10 | Eric Vanshelboim M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/10 | Eero Vasa M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Alexander Chang M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 8-10 | W |
| 06/10 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Cancun · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rodrigo Alujas vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes?
Our model gives 67% to Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.