Tennis · WTA Chennai · 05/11, 11:00
Prediction: Simona Waltert vs Lucrezia Stefanini
Team pages: Simona Waltert · Lucrezia Stefanini
Prediction summary
Winner
Simona Waltert
Lucrezia Stefanini
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Simona Waltert
4-6 (W-L)
Lucrezia Stefanini
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Simona Waltert 1497 · Lucrezia Stefanini 1561
| Simona Waltert | Lucrezia Stefanini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 40% | 60% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucrezia Stefanini (rating 1497 vs 1561).
- Note: Simona Waltert makes many double faults (6.6/match).
Statistics
| Simona Waltert | Lucrezia Stefanini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-11.6 | 12.2-8.7 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 6.6 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 63.9% | 59.3% |
| Break % | 28.6% | 52.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Simona Waltert
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Sahaja Yamalapalli WTA Chennai · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 27/10 | Jil Teichmann WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/10 | Anhelina Kalinina WTA Ningbo · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 09/10 | Himeno Sakatsume WTA Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 08/10 | Linda Klimovicova WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/10 | Melisa Ercan WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Erika Andreeva WTA Adana · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Anastasia Tikhonova WTA Adana · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 11/09 | Dalma Galfi WTA Montreux · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Despina Papamichail WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
Lucrezia Stefanini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Rada Zolotareva WTA Chennai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/10 | Ayla Aksu WTA Courmayeur · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 27/10 | Isabella Maria Serban WTA Courmayeur · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/10 | Bianca Andreescu WTA Rovereto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Harmony Tan WTA Rovereto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Laura Mair WTA Rovereto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 11/10 | Ayla Aksu WTA Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 10/10 | Anna Blinkova WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/10 | Polina Iatcenko WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/10 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Simona Waltert vs Lucrezia Stefanini?
Our model gives 60% to Lucrezia Stefanini, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.