Tennis · WTA Chennai · 05/11, 11:00
Prediction: Mai Hontama vs Zhibek Kulambayeva
Team pages: Mai Hontama · Zhibek Kulambayeva
Prediction summary
Winner
Mai Hontama
Zhibek Kulambayeva
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mai Hontama
4-6 (W-L)
Zhibek Kulambayeva
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mai Hontama 1478 · Zhibek Kulambayeva 1526
| Mai Hontama | Zhibek Kulambayeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zhibek Kulambayeva (rating 1478 vs 1526).
Statistics
| Mai Hontama | Zhibek Kulambayeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-11.1 | 11.3-11.2 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 56.7% | 57.4% |
| Break % | 33.3% | 54.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mai Hontama
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Chennai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/10 | Maya Joint WTA Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/10 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/10 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Osaka · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Emerson Jones WTA Suzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Katie Boulter WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Jodie Anna Burrage WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 28/09 | Alexandra Panova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 19/09 | Eunhye Lee WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 26/08 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Zhibek Kulambayeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Mei Yamaguchi WTA Chennai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/11 | Mei Yamaguchi WTA Chennai · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 31/10 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar WTA Chennai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Francisca Jorge WTA Lisbon · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 13/09 | Malaika Rapolu WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Antalya · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 07/09 | Radka Zelnickova WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Giorgia Pedone W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Ksenia Zaytseva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 16/08 | Mariya Yemshanova W75 Kursumlijska Banja Qual · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mai Hontama vs Zhibek Kulambayeva?
Our model gives 63% to Mai Hontama, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.