Tennis · Challenger Bratislava · 04/11, 18:30
Prediction: Jerome Kym vs Luka Pavlovic
Team pages: Jerome Kym · Luka Pavlovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Jerome Kym
Luka Pavlovic
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Jerome Kym
5-5 (W-L)
Luka Pavlovic
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jerome Kym 1582 · Luka Pavlovic 1511
| Jerome Kym | Luka Pavlovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jerome Kym (rating 1582 vs 1511).
- Luka Pavlovic dominates on serve: 8.5 aces and 40.9% break avg.
- Jerome Kym is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Jerome Kym | Luka Pavlovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.2-11.7 | 11.9-11.2 |
| Aces | 10.6 | 8.5 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 76.8% | 80.1% |
| Break % | 38% | 40.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jerome Kym
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 30/10 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Basel · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/10 | Ben Shelton ATP Basel · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 27/10 | Arthur Rinderknech ATP Basel · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 17/10 | Mika Brunold Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/10 | Ugo Blanchet Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/10 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 02/10 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 01/10 | Toby Samuel Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 28/09 | Tiago Torres Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Luka Pavlovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Alexander Shevchenko Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 17/10 | Ilia Simakin ATP Almaty · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 15/10 | Mattia Bellucci Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/10 | Kangyuan Shi Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/10 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/10 | Ilia Simakin ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 01/10 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Akira Santillan Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Alexandre Muller ATP Chengdu · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jerome Kym vs Luka Pavlovic?
Our model gives 68% to Jerome Kym, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.