Tennis · W35 Orlando · 03/11, 21:30
Prediction: Salma Drugdova vs Nao Nishino
Team pages: Salma Drugdova · Nao Nishino
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Prediction summary
Winner
Salma Drugdova
Nao Nishino
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Salma Drugdova
7-3 (W-L)
Nao Nishino
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Salma Drugdova 1540 · Nao Nishino 1604
| Salma Drugdova | Nao Nishino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nao Nishino (rating 1540 vs 1604).
- Nao Nishino is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Salma Drugdova makes many double faults (4.9/match).
- Note: Nao Nishino makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Salma Drugdova | Nao Nishino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-10.1 | 12.5-7.8 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 62.3% | 63.3% |
| Break % | 50.1% | 49.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Salma Drugdova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Hanna Chang W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Brandy Walker W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 20/10 | Marianne Angel Gonzalez W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/10 | Lea Ma W35 Redding |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/10 | Christasha McNeil W35 Redding |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/10 | Maria Aytoyan W35 Redding |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/10 | Mathilde Ngijol Carre W35 Redding |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/10 | Carlota Moreno W15 Nashville |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 29/09 | Eugenia Zozaya Menendez W15 Nashville |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 17/08 | Darya Velikova W35 Krakow |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Nao Nishino
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Annika Penickova W35 Redding |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Vivian Wolff W35 Redding |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 15/10 | Berta Passola W35 Redding |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/10 | Abigail Rencheli W35 Redding |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/10 | Shihomi Li Xuan Leong W35 Redding |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/08 | Mayu Crossley UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 22/08 | Lilian Poling UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 21/08 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Ellison Reynoldson UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/08 | Anastasia Akuginova UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Salma Drugdova vs Nao Nishino?
Our model gives 68% to Nao Nishino, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.