Tennis · Challenger Taranto · 04/11, 10:00
Prediction: Adrian Andreev vs Jacopo Vasami
Team pages: Adrian Andreev · Jacopo Vasami
Prediction summary
Winner
Adrian Andreev
Jacopo Vasami
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Adrian Andreev
6-4 (W-L)
Jacopo Vasami
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adrian Andreev 1552 · Jacopo Vasami 1499
| Adrian Andreev | Jacopo Vasami | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adrian Andreev (rating 1552 vs 1499).
- Note: Jacopo Vasami makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Adrian Andreev | Jacopo Vasami | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-9.7 | 11.1-11.3 |
| Aces | 2 | 5.8 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 71.7% |
| Break % | 54.6% | 49.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adrian Andreev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 01/11 | Andrea Colombo Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/10 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Florence · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 26/09 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 25/09 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/09 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Oleg Prihodko Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/09 | Dusan Obradovic Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/09 | Oleg Prihodko M25 Zlatibor |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Ryo Tabata M25 Zlatibor |
2-1 | 12-8 | W |
Jacopo Vasami
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Matteo Sciahbasi Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 01/11 | Kenny de Schepper Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 28/07 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Buvaysar Gadamauri Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/06 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 31/05 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 29/05 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adrian Andreev vs Jacopo Vasami?
Our model gives 57% to Adrian Andreev, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.