Tennis · M15 Fergana · 05/11, 06:00
Prediction: Calvin Mueller vs Edoardo Cherie Ligniere
Team pages: Calvin Mueller · Edoardo Cherie Ligniere
Prediction summary
Winner
Calvin Mueller
Edoardo Cherie Ligniere
Estimated games
20.9Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Calvin Mueller
8-2 (W-L)
Edoardo Cherie Ligniere
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Calvin Mueller 1554 · Edoardo Cherie Ligniere 1525
| Calvin Mueller | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Calvin Mueller | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-9.1 | 11-10.2 |
| Aces | 4 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 73.7% | 62.6% |
| Break % | 35.7% | 55.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +1.4
Over 19.5: 60% · 1.80
Under 19.5: 40% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Calvin Mueller
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Maksim Shin M15 Fergana |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/10 | Abdulaziz Usmonjonov M15 Fergana |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/10 | Arthur Nagel M25 Sarreguemines |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 22/10 | Florent Lagarrigue M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 17/10 | Mika Petkovic M15 Offenbach |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 16/10 | Flynn Thomas M15 Offenbach |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/10 | Jelle Sels M15 Offenbach |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/10 | Yannik Kelm M15 Offenbach |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 13/10 | Mac Visser M15 Offenbach |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/10 | Adrien Gobat M15 Rodez |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Edoardo Cherie Ligniere
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Peter Alam M15 Fergana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/10 | Amir Omarkhanov M15 Fergana |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/10 | Jan Hrazdil M15 Fergana |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 28/10 | Saveliy Ivanov M15 Fergana |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/09 | Michele Mecarelli M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Zura Tkemaladze M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-9 | W |
| 25/09 | Michele Mecarelli M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 24/09 | Matic Dimic M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 23/09 | Gabriele Bosio M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 06/09 | Federico Arnaboldi Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Calvin Mueller vs Edoardo Cherie Ligniere?
Our model gives 66% to Calvin Mueller, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.