Tennis · W35 Orlando · 04/11, 16:00
Prediction: Kristina Penickova vs Yara Bartashevich
Team pages: Kristina Penickova · Yara Bartashevich
Prediction summary
Winner
Kristina Penickova
Yara Bartashevich
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Kristina Penickova
6-4 (W-L)
Yara Bartashevich
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kristina Penickova 1530 · Yara Bartashevich 1466
| Kristina Penickova | Yara Bartashevich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kristina Penickova (rating 1530 vs 1466).
- Note: Kristina Penickova makes many double faults (6/match).
- Note: Yara Bartashevich makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Kristina Penickova | Yara Bartashevich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-10.5 | 11.1-12.5 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 6 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 61.9% | 62.4% |
| Break % | 55.4% | 40.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kristina Penickova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Astra Sharma W100 New Braunfels |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 17/10 | Julieta Pareja W100 Edmond |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Elvina Kalieva W100 Edmond |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/10 | Martina Capurro Taborda W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/10 | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Alina Shcherbinina W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/10 | Ella Mcdonald W100 Templeton |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Carolina Kuhl W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Iryna Shymanovich W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Harriet Dart US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
Yara Bartashevich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Salakthip Ounmuang W35 Norman |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Lan Mi W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/10 | Vivian Wolff W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/10 | Edda Mamedova W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 24/09 | Anna Rogers W50 Berkeley |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez W50 Berkeley |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 27/07 | Tilwith Di Girolami W50 Knokke-Heist |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Daria Kuczer W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 24/07 | Linea Bajraliu W35 Gentofte |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Isabel Skoog W35 Gentofte |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kristina Penickova vs Yara Bartashevich?
Our model gives 66% to Kristina Penickova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.