Tennis · W35 Orlando · 04/11, 16:00

Prediction: Ema Burgic vs Luciana Perry

Team pages: Ema Burgic

Prediction summary
Winner
50% 50%
Ema Burgic Luciana Perry
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Ema Burgic 4-6 (W-L)
LLLWLLWWLW
Luciana Perry 6-4 (W-L)
LWLLWWWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ema Burgic 1447 · Luciana Perry 1560
Ema BurgicLuciana Perry
Our model34%66%
Market63%38%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luciana Perry (rating 1447 vs 1560).
  • Luciana Perry is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Ema Burgic makes many double faults (7/match).
  • Note: Luciana Perry makes many double faults (5.1/match).

Statistics

Ema BurgicLuciana Perry
Win %30%70%
Win % · Clay 0% (1) –
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.41.4-0.7
Games (G-P)9.4-10.211.1-7.5
Aces0.71.1
Double faults75.1
1st serve %57.1%62.6%
Break %45.2%47.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ema Burgic

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/10 Maria Kononova
W100 New Braunfels
1-2 10-14 L
07/10 Kajsa Rinaldo Persson
W50 Lexington
0-2 11-14 L
06/10 Victoria Osuigwe
W50 Lexington
2-0 13-8 W
05/10 Serafima Elizarova
W50 Lexington
2-1 14-8 W
28/09 Arianna Zucchini
W100 Templeton
0-2 6-12 L
04/08 Madison Sieg
W100 Landisville
0-2 9-13 L
03/08 Maria Kozyreva
W100 Landisville
2-0 12-2 W
06/05 Ranah Akua Stoiber
W35 Boca Raton
0-1 2-6 L
27/04 Ava Markham
W100 Bonita Springs · ~Clay
1-2 15-14 L
11/04 Yasmine Kabbaj
Billie Jean King Cup · Hard
0-2 2-11 L

Luciana Perry

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/10 Barbora Palicova
W50 Austin
0-2 6-12 L
13/09 Carlota Moreno
UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
12/09 Julia Zhu
UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
11/09 Nadia Elle Valdez
UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard
2-0 12-1 W
09/09 Maeve Thornton
UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard
2-0 13-6 W
08/09 Audelie Lesauvage
UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
28/07 Sara Saito
W75 Lexington
0-2 9-13 L
10/07 Rebecca Marino
W50 Columbus
0-2 8-12 L
09/07 Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
W50 Columbus
2-0 12-8 W
07/07 Teah Chavez
W50 Columbus
2-1 15-12 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ema Burgic vs Luciana Perry?

Our model gives 50% to Ema Burgic, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.