Tennis · W75 Petange · 04/11, 10:00
Prediction: Lea Nilsson vs Nahia Berecoechea
Team pages: Lea Nilsson · Nahia Berecoechea
Prediction summary
Winner
Lea Nilsson
Nahia Berecoechea
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Lea Nilsson
5-5 (W-L)
Nahia Berecoechea
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lea Nilsson 1466 · Nahia Berecoechea 1545
| Lea Nilsson | Nahia Berecoechea | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nahia Berecoechea (rating 1466 vs 1545).
- Note: Nahia Berecoechea makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Lea Nilsson | Nahia Berecoechea | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-10.7 | 11.2-9.6 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 62.4% | 59.5% |
| Break % | 41% | 51.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lea Nilsson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Madison Brengle W100 New Braunfels |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/10 | Rose Marie Nijkamp W50 Austin |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 01/10 | Susan Bandecchi W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Petra Sedlackova W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/09 | Elizabeth Jurna W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Lea Boskovic W50 Yecla |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 26/08 | Selena Janicijevic W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Darya Astakhova W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Maria Golovina W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/08 | Jana Bojovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja Qual · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Nahia Berecoechea
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Anastasiya Kuparev W75 Petange |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/11 | Justine Bretnacher W75 Petange |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/10 | Oceane Dodin W75 Poitiers · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 28/10 | Oceane Babel W75 Poitiers · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/10 | Mariam Bolkvadze W50 Cherbourg |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 02/10 | Celia Cervino Ruiz W35 Baza |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Kristina Novak W35 Baza |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/09 | Lea Boskovic W35 Baza |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 25/09 | Kateryna Lazarenko W50 Yecla |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Miriana Tona W50 Yecla |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lea Nilsson vs Nahia Berecoechea?
Our model gives 53% to Nahia Berecoechea, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.