Tennis · Challenger Bratislava · 03/11, 11:00

Prediction: Matej Dodig vs Michal Krajci

Team pages: Matej Dodig · Michal Krajci

Prediction summary
Winner
74% 26%
Matej Dodig Michal Krajci
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Matej Dodig 8-2 (W-L)
WWLWWWWWWL
Michal Krajci 6-4 (W-L)
WLWLWWLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Matej Dodig 1607 · Michal Krajci 1531
Matej DodigMichal Krajci
Our model61%39%
Market85%15%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matej Dodig (rating 1607 vs 1531).

Statistics

Matej DodigMichal Krajci
Win %80%60%
Win % · Clay 80% (10) 33% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.7-0.71.2-0.9
Games (G-P)12.6-8.810.8-9.1
Aces4.84.2
Double faults1.22.6
1st serve %72.3%75.1%
Break %44.1%45.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Matej Dodig

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/10 Marco Trungelliti
Challenger Lisbon · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
21/10 Marco Cecchinato
Challenger Lisbon · Clay
2-1 16-9 W
20/10 Joao Domingues
Challenger Lisbon · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
17/10 Francesco Passaro
Challenger Maia · Clay
1-2 12-17 L
16/10 Tristan Boyer
Challenger Maia · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
15/10 Lukas Neumayer
Challenger Maia · Clay
2-1 16-13 W
14/10 Pedro Martinez
Challenger Maia · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
11/10 Elmer Moller
Challenger Braga · Clay
2-1 15-11 W
10/10 Lukas Neumayer
Challenger Braga · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
09/10 Marvin Moeller
Challenger Braga · Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Michal Krajci

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/11 Niels Visker
Challenger Bratislava · Hard
2-1 15-14 W
01/11 Aleksandr Braynin
Challenger Bratislava · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
13/10 Melvin Kumar
M15 Szabolcsveresmart · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
02/10 Robert Strombachs
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
1-2 13-14 L
01/10 Jan Simonsson
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
1-0 6-3 W
30/09 Pietro Orlando Fellin
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
24/09 Robert Strombachs
M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
23/09 Ammar Faleh Alhogbani
M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
11/09 Millen Hurrion
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
10/09 Essa Qabazard
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Matej Dodig vs Michal Krajci?

Our model gives 74% to Matej Dodig, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.