Tennis · Challenger Bratislava · 03/11, 11:00

Prediction: Jerome Kym vs Lucas Poullain

Team pages: Jerome Kym · Lucas Poullain

Prediction summary
Winner
68% 32%
Jerome Kym Lucas Poullain
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Jerome Kym 6-4 (W-L)
WLWLWWLWWL
Lucas Poullain 5-5 (W-L)
LWLLWLWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jerome Kym 1555 · Lucas Poullain 1545
Jerome KymLucas Poullain
Our model51%49%
Market81%19%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Jerome KymLucas Poullain
Win %70%60%
Win % · Hard 70% (10) 67% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.5-11.3-1
Games (G-P)14.2-12.311.6-9.6
Aces10.42.3
Double faults3.21.4
1st serve %75.7%72.6%
Break %38.1%31.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 23

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jerome Kym

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/10 Jiri Lehecka
ATP Basel · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
29/10 Ben Shelton
ATP Basel · Hard
2-1 19-16 W
27/10 Arthur Rinderknech
ATP Basel · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
17/10 Mika Brunold
Challenger Roanne · Hard
0-2 12-14 L
15/10 Ugo Blanchet
Challenger Roanne · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
14/10 Clement Chidekh
Challenger Roanne · Hard
2-0 14-12 W
02/10 Edas Butvilas
Challenger Porto · Hard
2-1 19-16 W
01/10 Toby Samuel
Challenger Porto · Hard
2-1 16-10 W
28/09 Tiago Torres
Challenger Porto · Hard
2-1 16-12 W
01/09 Remy Bertola
Challenger Manacor · Hard
1-2 15-17 L

Lucas Poullain

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/11 Yannik Kelm
Challenger Bratislava · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
01/11 Tomas Lanik
Challenger Bratislava · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
26/10 Matisse Bobichon
Challenger Brest · Hard
1-2 15-14 L
25/10 Timeo Trufelli
Challenger Brest · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
12/10 Tom Paris
Challenger Roanne · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
11/10 Gijs Brouwer
Challenger Roanne · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
02/10 Joel Schwaerzler
Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
30/09 Remy Bertola
Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard
2-1 16-14 W
29/09 Mark Lajal
Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard
2-1 18-16 W
23/09 Diogo Morais
M25 Setubal
0-2 5-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jerome Kym vs Lucas Poullain?

Our model gives 68% to Jerome Kym, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.