Tennis · W15 Szabolcsveresmart · 04/11, 10:00
Prediction: Liel Marlies Rothensteiner vs Amarissa Kiara Toth
Team pages: Liel Marlies Rothensteiner · Amarissa Kiara Toth
Prediction summary
Winner
Liel Marlies Rothensteiner
Amarissa Kiara Toth
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Liel Marlies Rothensteiner
5-5 (W-L)
Amarissa Kiara Toth
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Liel Marlies Rothensteiner 1470 · Amarissa Kiara Toth 1578
| Liel Marlies Rothensteiner | Amarissa Kiara Toth | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Amarissa Kiara Toth (rating 1470 vs 1578).
- Amarissa Kiara Toth is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Liel Marlies Rothensteiner makes many double faults (4.9/match).
- Note: Amarissa Kiara Toth makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Liel Marlies Rothensteiner | Amarissa Kiara Toth | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 1.4-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-12.1 | 9.1-5.7 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 63.6% | 49.8% |
| Break % | 56.1% | 36% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Liel Marlies Rothensteiner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Sandra Samir W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 23/09 | Mara Guth W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 16/09 | Yuliya Hatouka W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 15/09 | Leonie Rabl W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-7 | W |
| 12/08 | Nelli Ivanova W15 Astana |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Asylzhan Arystanbekova W15 Astana |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 06/08 | Sandugash Kenzhibayeva W15 Astana |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 04/08 | Daria Kuznetsova W15 Astana |
2-1 | 8-10 | W |
| 03/08 | Polina Sleptsova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/07 | Asylzhan Arystanbekova W15 Astana |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Amarissa Kiara Toth
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Denise Hrdinkova UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/10 | Laura Svatikova UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/10 | Xiang Liu UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/10 | Varvara Vinogradova UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/10 | Verica Zrnic UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/10 | Nina Zabrdac UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/09 | Daria Kuczer W50 Pazardzhik |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Lucia Cortez Llorca W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Pia Lovric W35 Trieste |
0-2 | 2-10 | L |
| 25/08 | Eleonora Alvisi W35 Trieste |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Liel Marlies Rothensteiner vs Amarissa Kiara Toth?
Our model gives 76% to Amarissa Kiara Toth, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.