Tennis · UTR Pro Chapel Hill Women · 04/11, 18:30
Prediction: Sara Borkop vs Natalie Outcalt
Team pages: Sara Borkop · Natalie Outcalt
Prediction summary
Winner
Sara Borkop
Natalie Outcalt
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Sara Borkop
4-6 (W-L)
Natalie Outcalt
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sara Borkop 1439 · Natalie Outcalt 1391
| Sara Borkop | Natalie Outcalt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sara Borkop (rating 1439 vs 1391).
- Note: Natalie Outcalt makes many double faults (7.2/match).
Statistics
| Sara Borkop | Natalie Outcalt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (4) | 10% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 0.6-1.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-10.9 | 8.8-13.7 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 7.2 |
| 1st serve % | 43.3% | 57% |
| Break % | 50.8% | 36.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sara Borkop
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Candela Yecora UTR Pro Chapel Hill Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/11 | Gabia Paskauskas UTR Pro Chapel Hill Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Eeva Ristola UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Prisca Abbas UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/06 | Nelly Knezkova UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Jana Stojanova UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 17/06 | Asuncion Jadue UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 15/06 | Victoria Borodulina UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 20/12 | Natalie Salkova UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/12 | Kamilla Bartone UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Natalie Outcalt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Gabia Paskauskas UTR Pro Chapel Hill Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/08 | Marina Davtyan UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Kaya Moe UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 07/08 | Lucia Donnelly UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 31/07 | Addy Rogin UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 30/07 | Kesmat El Tawil UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 29/07 | Gloriana Nahum UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Mary Grace Rennard UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/06 | Tricia Mar UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Alexandra Wolf UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sara Borkop vs Natalie Outcalt?
Our model gives 63% to Sara Borkop, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.