Tennis · M15 Sharm El Sheikh · 04/11, 09:00

Prediction: Karim Ibrahim vs Pierre Yves Bailly

Team pages: Karim Ibrahim · Pierre Yves Bailly

Prediction summary
Winner
29% 71%
Karim Ibrahim Pierre Yves Bailly
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Karim Ibrahim 3-7 (W-L)
LLLWLWLLWL
Pierre Yves Bailly 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWLWLWWL
Head-to-head
Karim Ibrahim 0–1 Pierre Yves Bailly (1 last)
  • 11 Jun0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Karim Ibrahim 1465 · Pierre Yves Bailly 1561
Karim IbrahimPierre Yves Bailly
Our model37%63%
Market23%77%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pierre Yves Bailly (rating 1465 vs 1561).
  • Pierre Yves Bailly is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Karim Ibrahim 0–1 Pierre Yves Bailly (1).

Statistics

Karim IbrahimPierre Yves Bailly
Win %30%70%
Win % · Hard 38% (8) 86% (7)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.51.3-0.8
Games (G-P)12.3-13.79.4-8.1
Aces11.81.2
Double faults3.41.7
1st serve %74.2%64.1%
Break %29.8%52%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.4

H2H · Karim Ibrahim 0 – 1 Pierre Yves Bailly (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Karim Ibrahim 0–1 Pierre Yves Bailly

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DateSetsGamesRes.
11/06/25
M15 Monastir
0-25-12L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Karim Ibrahim

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/10 Amr Asrawy
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
1-2 16-17 L
28/10 Ruslan Tiukaev
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-1 15-10 W
21/10 Tomas Lanik
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 8-12 L
08/10 Robert Strombachs
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
07/10 Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
30/09 Fares Zakaria
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 12-14 L
24/09 Pietro Orlando Fellin
M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
1-2 16-19 L
23/09 Anton Arzhankin
M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-1 18-18 W
02/09 Jake Fellows
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
1-2 11-15 L
26/08 Andrea Bacaloni
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-1 7-12 L

Pierre Yves Bailly

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/10 Yannik Kelm
M15 Offenbach
0-2 7-12 L
05/02 Seongwoo Cho
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-1 7-6 W
04/02 Jonas Eriksson Ziverts
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
18/01 Moise Kouame
M15 Bressuire · ~Hard
0-2 5-11 L
17/01 Mikalai Haliak
M15 Bressuire · ~Hard
2-0 11-5 W
16/01 Kenny de Schepper
M15 Bressuire · ~Hard
2-1 13-12 W
15/01 Maxence Beauge
M15 Bressuire · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
13/01 Romain Faucon
M15 Bressuire · ~Hard
2-0 11-3 W
09/01 Theo Papamalamis
M25 Hazebrouck
0-2 3-12 L
08/01 Maxence Bertimon
M25 Hazebrouck
2-0 13-9 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Karim Ibrahim vs Pierre Yves Bailly?

Our model gives 71% to Pierre Yves Bailly, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.