Tennis · M15 Sharm El Sheikh · 04/11, 09:00
Prediction: Karim Ibrahim vs Pierre Yves Bailly
Team pages: Karim Ibrahim · Pierre Yves Bailly
Prediction summary
Winner
Karim Ibrahim
Pierre Yves Bailly
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Karim Ibrahim
3-7 (W-L)
Pierre Yves Bailly
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Karim Ibrahim
0–1
Pierre Yves Bailly
(1 last)
- 11 Jun0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Karim Ibrahim 1465 · Pierre Yves Bailly 1561
| Karim Ibrahim | Pierre Yves Bailly | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pierre Yves Bailly (rating 1465 vs 1561).
- Pierre Yves Bailly is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Karim Ibrahim 0–1 Pierre Yves Bailly (1).
Statistics
| Karim Ibrahim | Pierre Yves Bailly | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-13.7 | 9.4-8.1 |
| Aces | 11.8 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 74.2% | 64.1% |
| Break % | 29.8% | 52% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Karim Ibrahim 0 – 1 Pierre Yves Bailly (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Karim Ibrahim 0–1 Pierre Yves Bailly
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/25 M15 Monastir | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Karim Ibrahim
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Amr Asrawy M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 28/10 | Ruslan Tiukaev M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 21/10 | Tomas Lanik M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Robert Strombachs M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/09 | Fares Zakaria M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 24/09 | Pietro Orlando Fellin M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 23/09 | Anton Arzhankin M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 02/09 | Jake Fellows M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 26/08 | Andrea Bacaloni M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-1 | 7-12 | L |
Pierre Yves Bailly
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Yannik Kelm M15 Offenbach |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/02 | Seongwoo Cho M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-1 | 7-6 | W |
| 04/02 | Jonas Eriksson Ziverts M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/01 | Moise Kouame M15 Bressuire · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 17/01 | Mikalai Haliak M15 Bressuire · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 16/01 | Kenny de Schepper M15 Bressuire · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 15/01 | Maxence Beauge M15 Bressuire · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/01 | Romain Faucon M15 Bressuire · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 09/01 | Theo Papamalamis M25 Hazebrouck |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/01 | Maxence Bertimon M25 Hazebrouck |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Karim Ibrahim vs Pierre Yves Bailly?
Our model gives 71% to Pierre Yves Bailly, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

