Tennis · Challenger Bratislava · 03/11, 11:00
Prediction: Mika Brunold vs Michael Vrbensky
Team pages: Mika Brunold · Michael Vrbensky
Prediction summary
Winner
Mika Brunold
Michael Vrbensky
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Mika Brunold
6-4 (W-L)
Michael Vrbensky
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mika Brunold
0–1
Michael Vrbensky
(1 last)
- 08 Dec0-2 7-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mika Brunold 1562 · Michael Vrbensky 1512
| Mika Brunold | Michael Vrbensky | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mika Brunold (rating 1562 vs 1512).
- Michael Vrbensky dominates on serve: 6 aces and 50.8% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Mika Brunold 0–1 Michael Vrbensky (1).
Statistics
| Mika Brunold | Michael Vrbensky | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-11.4 | 12.4-11.7 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 6 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 68.9% | 72.3% |
| Break % | 40.2% | 50.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
H2H · Mika Brunold 0 – 1 Michael Vrbensky (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mika Brunold 0–1 Michael Vrbensky
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/12/22 ITF M15 Trnava | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mika Brunold
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Nuno Borges ATP Basel · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/10 | Remy Bertola ATP Basel · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/10 | Jaime Faria ATP Basel · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/10 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 17/10 | Jerome Kym Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/10 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 14/10 | Benjamin Bonzi Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 12/10 | Mathys Domenc Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/09 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Biella · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 17/09 | Francesco Forti Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Michael Vrbensky
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Max Houkes Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/11 | Marek Gengel Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 14/10 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 13/10 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/10 | Patrick Schoen Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/09 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Prague · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Nikoloz Basilashvili Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 27/07 | Maxime Janvier Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 20/07 | Patrik Niklas-Salminen Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mika Brunold vs Michael Vrbensky?
Our model gives 70% to Mika Brunold, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.