Tennis · M15 Trois-Rivieres · 03/11, 15:30

Prediction: Johan Oscar Lien vs Jake Fellows

Team pages: Johan Oscar Lien · Jake Fellows

Prediction summary
Winner
52% 48%
Johan Oscar Lien Jake Fellows
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Johan Oscar Lien 4-6 (W-L)
LWWLWLLLWL
Jake Fellows 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWLWLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Johan Oscar Lien 1500 · Jake Fellows 1554
Johan Oscar LienJake Fellows
Our model42%58%
Market61%39%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jake Fellows (rating 1500 vs 1554).

Statistics

Johan Oscar LienJake Fellows
Win %50%60%
Win % · Clay 50% (4) 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.21.3-0.8
Games (G-P)10.3-10.811.1-9.2
Aces1.12.3
Double faults1.62
1st serve %64.9%71.2%
Break %49.2%35.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Johan Oscar Lien

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/10 Theo Papamalamis
M15 Lexington
0-2 8-13 L
15/10 Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas
M15 Lexington
2-0 12-7 W
14/10 Youcef Rihane
M15 Lexington
2-1 10-10 W
29/07 Valdemar Frederik Pape
M25 Gentofte
1-2 12-15 L
16/07 Oleksii Krutykh
M15 Uslar
0-2 9-13 L
15/07 Justin Schlageter
M15 Uslar
2-1 15-14 W
24/06 Manel Lazaro Juncadella
M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
18/06 Sydney Zick
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
16/06 Calvin Mueller
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W
04/06 Marcel Zielinski
M15 Rosbach · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L

Jake Fellows

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/10 Simone Massellani
M15 Selva Gardena
0-2 5-12 L
28/10 Luca Castagnola
M15 Selva Gardena
2-0 13-9 W
27/10 Leonardo Taddia
M15 Selva Gardena
2-0 12-4 W
19/10 Kyle Mckay
M25 Redbridge
0-2 7-12 L
18/10 Dylan Leeman
M25 Redbridge
2-0 13-8 W
24/09 Alec Deckers
M25 Setubal
0-2 8-12 L
23/09 Rodrigo Leal
M25 Setubal
2-0 12-2 W
21/09 Dino Molokova Ferreira
M25 Setubal
2-0 12-6 W
05/09 Chirag Duhan
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
1-2 16-19 L
04/09 Aditya Balsekar
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Johan Oscar Lien vs Jake Fellows?

Our model gives 52% to Johan Oscar Lien, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.